Senate vote margin (D minus R, points) by US states, 2024 election
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Values are the Democratic minus Republican share of the vote, in percentage points (D+ a Democratic lead, R+ a Republican lead). A letter other than D or R (I+1.0) is an independent or third-party candidate standing in for the Democratic side.
Largest Democratic-side margins: Hawaii D+32.7, Vermont I+31.1, Rhode Island D+20.1, Massachusetts D+19.8, Connecticut D+18.9.
Largest Republican margins: Wyoming R+51.0, West Virginia R+41.0, North Dakota R+32.9, Utah R+30.8, Tennessee R+29.6.
Closest: Pennsylvania R+0.2, Michigan D+0.3, Wisconsin D+0.9, Nevada D+1.6, Arizona D+2.4.
Democratic lead in 17, independent lead in 2, Republican lead in 14 of 33 US states.
Biggest shifts toward Democrats since 2022 election: New York 4.3 pts toward Democrats (D+14.0 to D+18.3), Washington 3.9 pts toward Democrats (D+14.5 to D+18.5), Florida 3.6 pts toward Democrats (R+16.4 to R+12.8).
Biggest shifts toward Republicans since 2022 election: Utah 20.4 pts toward Republicans (R+10.4 to R+30.8), Maryland 19.9 pts toward Republicans (D+31.7 to D+11.8), Hawaii 12.5 pts toward Republicans (D+45.2 to D+32.7).
33 US states with data. 2 values provisional.
Source: MIT Election Data and Science Lab: U.S. Senate statewide 1976-2024 (doi:10.7910/DVN/PEJ5QU) (CC0 1.0). Figures updated 9 October 2026.
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