Presidential vote margin (D minus R, points) by US states, 2024 election
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Values are the Democratic minus Republican share of the vote, in percentage points (D+ a Democratic lead, R+ a Republican lead). A letter other than D or R (I+1.0) is an independent or third-party candidate standing in for the Democratic side.
Largest Democratic margins: District of Columbia D+83.8, Vermont D+31.5, Maryland D+28.5, Massachusetts D+25.2, Hawaii D+23.1.
Largest Republican margins: Wyoming R+45.8, West Virginia R+41.9, Idaho R+36.5, North Dakota R+36.5, Oklahoma R+34.3.
Closest: Wisconsin R+0.9, Michigan R+1.4, Pennsylvania R+1.7, Georgia R+2.2, New Hampshire D+2.8.
Democratic lead in 20, Republican lead in 31 of 51 US states.
Biggest shifts toward Republicans since 2020 election: New York 10.5 pts toward Republicans (D+23.1 to D+12.6), New Jersey 10.0 pts toward Republicans (D+15.9 to D+5.9), Florida 9.7 pts toward Republicans (R+3.4 to R+13.1).
51 US states with data.
Source: MIT Election Data and Science Lab: U.S. President 1976-2024 (doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX); County Presidential Election Returns 2000-2024 (doi:10.7910/DVN/VOQCHQ) (CC0 1.0). Figures updated 9 October 2026.
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